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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Type: Cancellation ×Airport: AUS × Clear filters
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CST, Nov 15 25 min ago
Forecast Major Developing Escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Sunday

What changed: about 5 → 8 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 53 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~8 cancellationsHorizon 4.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 15 25 min ago
Forecast Major Developing Escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Sunday

What changed: about 6 → 9 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 67 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 1.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (6) 5 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 15 1 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Sunday

What changed: about 5 → 9 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 64 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 11:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (5) 4 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 15 4 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Austin departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

What changed: about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 42 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~5 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 15 8 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 10 among Austin departures 6–9 AM Sunday

What changed: about 13 → 10 expected cancellations since the 3:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 68 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~10 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 14 19 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Austin departures 6–9 PM Saturday

What changed: about 5 → 4 expected cancellations since the 1:00 PM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (19%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~4 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View AUS
CST, Nov 14 23 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Austin departures 3–6 PM Saturday

What changed: about 6 → 9 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 45 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (20%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 0.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 14 26 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Austin departures noon–3 PM Saturday

What changed: about 5 → 8 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 57 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (14%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~8 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 14 27 h ago
Forecast Informational Resolved Resolution Cancellation AUS departures

Model lowers expected cancellations among Austin departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 2

What changed: about 8 → 2

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 20 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~2 cancellationsHorizon 8.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 14 30 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation AUS departures

Model expects about 10 cancellations among Austin departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 33 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (30%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~10 cancellationsHorizon 1.6 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View AUS
CST, Nov 14 31 h ago
Forecast Significant Resolved Escalation Cancellation AUS departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 5 among Austin departures 6–9 AM Saturday

What changed: about 3 → 5 expected cancellations since the 3:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 56 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~5 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (5) 4 earlier matching updates View AUS
CST, Nov 13 43 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation AUS departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Austin departures 6–9 PM Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 45 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (13%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View AUS

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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