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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Passenger events at your flight's airports

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“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

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Type: Cancellation ×Airport: BNA × Clear filters
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CST, Nov 15 1 h ago
Forecast Significant Resolved De-escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Nashville departures 3–6 PM Sunday

What changed: about 5 → 3 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 67 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Sunday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~3 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View BNA
CST, Nov 15 7 h ago
Forecast Significant New Cancellation BNA departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Sunday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 82 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 9.1 hModel famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View BNA
CST, Nov 15 11 h ago
Forecast Significant Resolved Cancellation BNA departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among Nashville departures noon–3 PM Sunday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 66 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 7.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View BNA
CST, Nov 15 11 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 7 among Nashville departures 6–9 AM Sunday

What changed: about 6 → 7 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 64 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Sunday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (6) 5 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 15 13 h ago
Forecast Significant Resolved De-escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among Nashville departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

What changed: about 9 → 6 expected cancellations since the 11:00 PM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 72 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Sunday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 6.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 14 22 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Saturday

What changed: about 5 → 4 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (20%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~4 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 14 25 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 15 among Nashville departures 3–6 PM Saturday

What changed: about 30 → 15 expected cancellations since the 1:00 PM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 15 of the 70 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (21%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~15 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (6) 5 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 14 28 h ago
Forecast Significant Resolved De-escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 5 among Nashville departures noon–3 PM Saturday

What changed: about 7 → 5 expected cancellations since the 9:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 64 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~5 cancellationsHorizon 0.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 14 30 h ago
Forecast Informational Resolved Resolution Cancellation BNA departures

Model lowers expected cancellations among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Saturday to about 2

What changed: about 7 → 2

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 2 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~2 cancellationsHorizon 8.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 14 34 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 17 among Nashville departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

What changed: about 6 → 17 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 54 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~17 cancellationsHorizon 3.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (3) 2 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 14 34 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 26 among Nashville departures 6–9 AM Saturday

What changed: about 7 → 26 expected cancellations since the 4:00 AM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 26 of the 72 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (35%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~26 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (4) 3 earlier matching updates View BNA
CST, Nov 13 46 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Escalation Cancellation BNA departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among Nashville departures 6–9 PM Friday

What changed: about 8 → 11 expected cancellations since the 3:00 PM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 75 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~11 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View BNA

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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