Tailodds’ model gives the 27 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 PM–midnight Sunday an average 80% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 54%. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Updated model puts Love Field departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday at 81%
▲ 67% → 81% since the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model changed)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 39 departures scheduled from Love Field 6–9 PM Sunday an average 81% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 53%. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Love Field departure delay risk 3–6 PM Sunday to 83%
▲ 70% → 83% since the 8:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 34 departures scheduled from Love Field 3–6 PM Sunday an average 83% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Love Field departure delays worsen: 60% late in the last hour
▲ late share 58% → 60%Loading earlier updates…
Of 15 departures that took off between 9:46 AM and 10:46 AM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Love Field typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Sunday to 70%
▼ 81% → 70% since the 6:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 36 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Sunday an average 70% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 44%. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Sunday to 64%
▲ 55% → 64% since the 4:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 40 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Sunday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 5:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 6–9 AM Sunday to 30%, near normal
33% → 30%; calm-weather level 9%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 37 departures scheduled from Love Field 6–9 AM Sunday an average 30% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 9%. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Love Field arrivals running late: 85% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
85% lateOf 13 arrivals that landed between 4:45 PM and 5:45 PM CST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Love Field arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Of 13 departures that took off between 1:59 PM and 2:59 PM CST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Love Field typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model raises Love Field departure delay risk 6–9 PM Saturday to 90%
▲ 79% → 90% since the 10:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 19 departures scheduled from Love Field 6–9 PM Saturday an average 90% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Love Field departure delay risk 3–6 PM Saturday to 89%
▲ 78% → 89% since the 10:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 33 departures scheduled from Love Field 3–6 PM Saturday an average 89% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Saturday to 75%
▲ 63% → 75% since the 6:00 AM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 40 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Saturday an average 75% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 25%. From the 10:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 36 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 46% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 15%. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Saturday to 30%, near normal
40% → 30%; calm-weather level 15%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 36 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Saturday an average 30% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 15%. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model raises Love Field departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Friday to 89%
▲ 76% → 89% since the 5:00 PM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 28 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 PM–midnight Friday an average 89% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 55%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 6–9 PM Friday to 81%
▼ 92% → 81% since the 3:00 PM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 37 departures scheduled from Love Field 6–9 PM Friday an average 81% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 53%. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Love Field departure delays worsen: 73% late in the last hour
▲ late share 46% → 73%Loading earlier updates…
Of 15 departures that took off between 1:33 PM and 2:33 PM CST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Love Field typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Friday to 48%, near normal
48% → 48%; calm-weather level 43%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 36 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Friday an average 48% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 43%. From the 9:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Thursday to 67%, near normal
72% → 67%; calm-weather level 61%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 25 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 67% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 61%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Love Field departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 83% → 58%Loading earlier updates…
Of 12 departures that took off between 7:20 PM and 8:20 PM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Love Field typically sees 48% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
5 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Of 13 departures that took off between 2:31 PM and 3:31 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Love Field typically sees 35% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Tuesday to 28%, near normal
35% → 28%; calm-weather level 27%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 45 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Tuesday an average 28% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 AM–noon Tuesday to 22%, near normal
48% → 22%; calm-weather level 15%Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 39 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 AM–noon Tuesday an average 22% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 15%. From the 3:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
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Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk 9 PM–midnight Monday to 65%
▼ 77% → 65% since the 6:00 PM CST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 30 departures scheduled from Love Field 9 PM–midnight Monday an average 65% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 54%. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Of 13 departures that took off between 1:28 PM and 2:28 PM CST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Love Field typically sees 33% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
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- Observed
- We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
- Forecast
- Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?