Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 30 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
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Model expects about 9 cancellations among Indianapolis departures noon–3 PM Saturday
~9 cancellationsAdding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 31 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (29%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model expects about 7 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
~7 cancellationsAdding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 3–6 PM Saturday to about 3
about 14 → 3Loading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 33 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 3 among Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday
▼ about 17 → 3 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM CST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 40 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations among Love Field departures 9 AM–noon Saturday to about 3
about 15 → 3Loading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 3 of the 36 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (8%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model expects about 10 cancellations among Raleigh/Durham departures 6–9 PM Saturday
~10 cancellationsAdding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 26 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (38%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model raises expected cancellations to about 9 among Raleigh/Durham departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
▲ about 8 → 9 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 26 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 20 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (27%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 13 of the 45 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (29%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 16 of the 56 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (29%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 33 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (30%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model raises expected cancellations to about 10 among Tampa departures 6–9 PM Saturday
▲ about 6 → 10 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 10 of the 27 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 17 among Tampa departures noon–3 PM Saturday
▼ about 19 → 17 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 17 of the 47 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (37%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 15 among Tampa departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
▼ about 16 → 15 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 15 of the 38 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (39%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 58 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 6 among San Diego departures 6–9 AM Saturday
▼ about 8 → 6 expected cancellations since the 1:00 AM PST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 57 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 4:00 AM PST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 21 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (27%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model raises expected cancellations to about 19 among Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Saturday
▲ about 14 → 19 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 19 of the 63 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (30%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 21 among Fort Lauderdale departures 3–6 PM Saturday
▼ about 24 → 21 expected cancellations since the 5:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 21 of the 49 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (43%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 26 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Saturday
▼ about 30 → 26 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 26 of the 62 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (41%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model lowers expected cancellations to about 35 among Fort Lauderdale departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
▼ about 39 → 35 expected cancellations since the 6:00 AM EST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 35 of the 81 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (44%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model expects about 25 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures 3–6 PM Saturday
~25 cancellationsAdding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 25 of the 84 departures scheduled 3–6 PM Saturday to be cancelled (29%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model expects about 11 cancellations among Salt Lake City departures noon–3 PM Saturday
~11 cancellationsAdding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 34 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Saturday to be cancelled (32%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Model raises expected cancellations to about 38 among Salt Lake City departures 9 AM–noon Saturday
▲ about 7 → 38 expected cancellations since the 2:00 AM MST forecastLoading earlier updates…
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 38 of the 105 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (36%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 5:00 AM MST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Older items Every published update, newest first. Times are EST.
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- Observed
- We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
- Forecast
- Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?